Projections that show their work
Expected points for every Fantasy Premier League player, broken down gameweek by gameweek — the fixture, the difficulty, and which parts of the game each point comes from.
Updated from the official FPL API · Gameweek 8
Most tools give you a number. This one shows the arithmetic behind it — clean sheet, defensive contribution, goals, assists, bonus — summing to the total, next to the fixture that produced it. If a projection looks wrong, you can see exactly why, instead of taking it on trust.
Top projected players, next 5 gameweeks
| # | Player | Pos | Team | Price | Next GW | 5 GW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haaland | FWD | MCI | £15.7m | 7.4 | 35.4 |
| 2 | Gabriel | DEF | ARS | £7.9m | 5.8 | 28.3 |
| 3 | Mbeumo | MID | MUN | £7.9m | 5.5 | 26.7 |
| 4 | Tavernier | MID | BOU | £6.3m | 4.5 | 25.5 |
| 5 | Raya | GKP | ARS | £6.2m | 4.9 | 24.6 |
| 6 | De Cuyper | DEF | BHA | £5.3m | 5.1 | 24.2 |
| 7 | Iwobi | MID | FUL | £5.4m | 5.0 | 24.1 |
| 8 | White | DEF | ARS | £5.4m | 4.9 | 24.1 |
| 9 | Isak | FWD | LIV | £9.0m | 4.5 | 23.9 |
| 10 | Ødegaard | MID | ARS | £6.8m | 4.2 | 23.7 |
| 11 | N.Jackson | FWD | AVL | £6.7m | 5.2 | 23.4 |
| 12 | Evanilson | FWD | BOU | £6.2m | 4.8 | 23.3 |
| 13 | Vuskovic | DEF | BHA | £5.1m | 4.8 | 23.1 |
| 14 | Dewsbury-Hall | MID | EVE | £6.6m | 4.8 | 23.1 |
| 15 | Gibbs-White | MID | NFO | £7.9m | 4.2 | 22.9 |
| 16 | Konsa | DEF | ARS | £4.6m | 4.9 | 22.5 |
| 17 | Groß | MID | BHA | £6.2m | 4.2 | 22.5 |
| 18 | Barry | FWD | EVE | £5.7m | 4.3 | 22.0 |
| 19 | Rice | MID | ARS | £7.4m | 4.5 | 21.9 |
| 20 | Calafiori | DEF | ARS | £6.0m | 3.7 | 21.9 |
Rate your own squad
No Team ID, no account, no sign-up. Screenshot your squad, upload it, and see what it projects over the next five gameweeks — and how far off the best legal squad it is.
How these projections are built
- Expected minutes first. A hot-form substitute is not a better pick than a nailed starter, however good his per-90 numbers look.
- Each fixture scored on its own, so a blank gameweek scores zero and a double scores twice — rather than an average that hides both.
- Every component priced separately and summed, so the breakdown is the projection rather than a story printed beside it.
- Rates from small samples are regressed toward the positional average. Two minutes of football is not evidence of anything.